08 APR 2013 by ideonexus
The Planning Fallacy
Professor McGonagall opened her mouth, then closed it. The witch rubbed the bridge of her nose, looking thoughtful. "Mr. Potter... if I were to offer to listen to you for a while... is there anything you'd like to talk to me about?"
"About what?"
"About why you're convinced you must always be on your guard against terrible things happening to you."
Harry stared at her in puzzlement. That was a self-evident axiom. "Well..." Harry said slowly. He tried to organise his thoughts. How could he e...Folksonomies: cognitive bias fallacy
Folksonomies: cognitive bias fallacy
We underestimate how close we are to completing a task, the only solution is to consider how long it took us to complete the last time we did it.
10 AUG 2011 by ideonexus
Witches Own Nothing
“Well, that seems kinda precipitate. Seems to me a man should have a choice whether to take up arms or not.”
“We have no more choice in that than in whether or not to be born.”
“Oh, I like choice, though,” he said. “I like choosing the jobs I take and the places I go and the food I eat and the companions I sit and yarn with. Don’t you wish for a choice once in a while ?”
Serafina Pekkala considered, and then said, “Perhaps we don’t mean the same thing by choice, Mr. S...Folksonomies: immortality materialism
Folksonomies: immortality materialism
Therefore cost does not factor into their reasoning, because they live long enough to know that every opportunity comes around again.
20 MAY 2011 by ideonexus
The Boundary of Life
The harder we look at the border between life and non-life, the
more elusive does the distinction become. Life, the animate, was supposed to have some sort of
vibrant, throbbing quality, some vital essence - made to sound yet more mysterious when dropped
into French: elan vital. Life, it seemed, was made of a special living substance, a witch's brew
called 'protoplasm'. Conan Doyle's Professor Challenger, a fictional character even more
preposterous than Sherlock Holmes, discovered that the ...Different attempts to define it over the years.