Climate Change Science is Based on an 1896 Paper
Our understanding that increasing carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere could change the climate is not new. The relationship between carbon dioxide, water vapor, and climate was first laid out in detail in 1896 by the Swedish physicist Svante Arrhenius, who estimated that a doubling of carbon dioxide levels would cause global warming of 4.9° to 6.1°C. In his landmark paper, Arrhenius reported that "a simple calculation shows that the temperature in the arctic regions would rise about 8° to 9° C, if the carbonic acid increased to 2.5 or 3 times its present value,' and he suggested that over time the burning of fossil fuels—then largely five hundred million tons annually of coal—could have an influence.^
Notes:
Reference to the original paper that started Climate Change Science.
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