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The Degradation of Predictability - And Knowledge

Kind
Book
Date
January, 2010
Publisher
Edge Foundation, Inc.
Retrieved
Oct 1, 2010

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Ignorance Coupled with Intellectual Hubris

I used to think that the problem of information is that it turns homo sapiens into fools — we gain disproportionately in confidence, particularly in domains where information is wrapped in a high degree of noise (say, epidemiology, genetics, economics, etc.). So we end up thinking that we know more than we do, which…