18 MAR 2012 by ideonexus
Dunning–Kruger effect
People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many social and intellectual domains. The
authors suggest that this overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these
domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make
unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it. Across 4
studies, the authors found that participants scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of hum...People who are unskilled in domains grossly overestimate their abilities compared to those who are skilled.
01 JUL 2011 by ideonexus
The Impact of Scientific Ignorance on Society
As a society, we walk a tightrope between limbo and extinction.
We’re on a threshold of survival, in a society threatened as never
before to find the way, with less and less margin for error. The
decades ahead to the year 2000 and beyond, as were the decades
just past, can be either interrogative, presumptuous, or insane.
And we have to create our own flight plan, because this Earth
didn’t come with one telling us how to get to the future safely.
The winds of change are blowing across th...Anticipating the future is the lesson of the past, and the modern world is increasingly disenchanted with the technological progress that makes life possible.