TO UNDERSTAND TECHNOLOGY AS IT IS
seen by people outsid e the technological elite, I have
found science fiction more illuminating than science.
Science provid es the technical input for technology;
science fiction sh ows us the human output.
So did Hobbes get it right? In part, he did. In the nature of man we find three principal causes of quarrel: gain (predatory raids), safety (preemptive raids), and reputation (retaliatory raids). And the numbers confirm that relatively speaking, “during the time men live without a common power to keep them all in awe, they are in that condition which is called war,” and that in such condition they live in “continual fear, and danger of violent death.”
But from his armchair in 17th-ce...
"The fall of Trantor," said Seldon, "cannot be stopped by any conceivable
effort. It can be hastened easily, however. The tale of my interrupted
trial will spread through the Galaxy. Frustration of my plans to lighten
the disaster will convince people that the future holds no promise to them.
Already they recall the lives of their grandfathers with envy. They will
see that political revolutions and trade stagnations will increase. The
feeling will pervade the Galaxy that onl...
The megalopolis encompasses the District of Columbia and part or all of 11 states: from south to north, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine. It is linked by Interstate 95 and U.S. Route 1, which start in Miami and Key West, Florida, respectively, and terminate in Maine at the Canada–United States border, as well as the Northeast Corridor railway line, the busiest passenger rail line in the count...
The scenarios most closely reflecting the reality of our world today are found in the third group of experiments (see the scenarios for an unequal society in section 5.3), where we introduced economic stratication. Under such conditions, we nd that collapse is dicult to avoid, which helps to explain why economic stratication is one of the elements consistently found in past collapsed societies. Importantly, in the rst of these unequal society scenarios, 5.3.1, the solution appears to be on a ...
Running the model in dierent scenarios produces two kinds of collapses, either due to scarcity
of labor (following an inequality-induced famine) or due to scarcity of Nature (depletion of natural
resources). We categorize the former case as a Type-L (Disappearance of Labor) Collapse and
the latter as a Type-N collapse (Exhaustion of Nature). In a Type-L collapse, growth of the
Elite Population strains availability of resources for the Commoners. This causes decline of the
Commoner Population ...
As indicated above, Human And Nature DYnamics (HANDY) was originally built based on the
predator-prey model. We can think of the human population as the predator", while nature
(the natural resources of the surrounding environment) can be taken as the prey", depleted by
humans. In animal models, carrying capacity is an upper ceiling on long-term population. When
the population surpasses the carrying capacity, mechanisms such as starvation or migration bring
the population back down. However, ...
The Roman Empire's dramatic collapse (followed by many centuries of population decline, economic deterioration, intellectual regression, and the disappearance of literacy) is well known, but it was not the rst rise-and-collapse cycle in Europe. Prior to the rise of Classical Greco- Roman civilization, both the Minoan and Mycenaean Civilizations had each risen, reached very advanced levels of civilization, and then collapsed virtually completely [Morris, 2006; Redman, 1999]. The history of Mes...
THE FIRST TIER VALUE SYSTEMS; The Levels of Subsistence
"Survival/Sense. The Instinctive vMEME
Automatic, autistic, reflexive
Centers around satisfaction
Driven by deep brain programs, instincts and genetics
Little awareness of self as a distinct being (undifferentiated)
Lives "off the land" much as other animals
Minimal impact on or control over environment"
"Kin Spirits. The Clannish vMEME
Obey desires of the mystical spirit beings
Show allegiance to ...
Levels of cognition in Spiral Dynamics.
In a way it is even humiliating to watch . . . miners working. It raises in you a momentary doubt about your own status as an 'intellectual' and a superior person generally. For it is brought home to you, at least while you are watching, that it is only because miners sweat their guts out that superior persons can remain superior. You and I and the editors of the Times Literary Supplement, and the Poets and the Archbishop of Canterbury and Comrade X, author of Marxism for Infants—all of us ...